Posts Tagged ‘war’

We cannot afford NOT to spend the money

Wednesday, October 21st, 2009

There seems to be a thick fog of delusion obscuring rational conversation on the topic of government spending. Every day I hear another rant or read yet another article by one pundit or another about how we cannot afford to fight the battles that President Obama is waging. Just this morning, I read an article in the October 17 issue of The Economist (p.46) that serves as the perfect foil for my argument. The article paraphrased Democratic fears about the war in Afghanistan as a two-fold anxiety:

“One is that they might pour billions of dollars and hundreds of lives into Afghanistan, and still lose. The other is that a costly war could scuttle their domestic agenda. How will they pay for universal health care, for example, if they keep burning banknotes in the Afghan inferno?”

Indeed. This erstwhile intelligent and insightful publication, written and edited by astute men and women with a keen understanding of finance, did not immediately follow this passage with a clarification of the confusion in these statements. The erroneous language was allowed to stand as though it were complete and correct.

This really bugs the crap out of me because it promulgates noisy fear mongering and averts our mind’s eye from the real issue at hand—where are we investing our wealth?

Although we are in fact spending billions of dollars on the Afghan war, ostensibly to prevent another 9-11 and to ensure that we leave a legacy of productive engagement in the region, we are not “pouring” the money into Afghanistan nor is the money going into some black hole, never to return. Likewise, although this war is indeed costly, it is not a cash furnace “burning banknotes.” These metaphors are often used when decrying Obama’s wide ranging and ambitious agenda. Words like “wasting” or “burning” or “pouring” money imply that the money leaves us. This is simply not the case.

Let’s take a short, simplified walk with some of the dollars we are spending on the Afghan war. According to the same Economist article, it costs $250,000 to deploy each soldier into that operational theater for a year. More expensive than a plumber? Sir, yes sir! Where does that money go? Part of it pays that soldier’s wages. Where does his money go? Very often it pays for his family expenses—diapers, formula, bed sheets, clothes, sneakers, food, beer, toys and trips to the movies. All that stuff is made by companies in which Americans work or invested their money, so the profits accrue to Americans. The $250,000 also pays for the armor, specialized clothing, MREs, and weapons issued to the soldier—all made by American companies. In addition, that soldier is transported in a truck, or plane, or maybe that soldier flies a helicopter or drives an ambulance or a tank. Each of those transport systems and the communication systems that they use to coordinate their activities in Afghanistan are (more often than not) made by American companies, which use that money to pay American workers’ wages. Those American workers use that money to pay for their diapers, formula, bed sheets, clothing, sneakers, food, toys, trips to the movies, maybe an Xbox, a laptop, etc. Who gets that money? Oh yeah, Americans.

By now you can see where I am going with this. We are not burning our cash in Afghanistan. We are allocating a portion of our income and financial assets (in the form of taxes) to an effort we have deemed necessary for our well being—the war in Afghanistan. We pay that money to Americans more often than not, directly and indirectly. Even when we do spend it on Afghans, they often use that money to buy American goods and services.

Do we have the money to pay for the war in Afghanistan? Yes we do. Although it’s a huge expense in absolute dollars, it pales in comparison to what we have allocated to Medicare, Social Security and other programs. And yet even with that pile of cash expended, we still generate more wealth in this country than all of those projects combined. Do we derive economic benefit from the expenditure in Afghanistan? Yes we do. Do we gain political, military, and perhaps even national security from this effort? Historians will argue for decades at least.

The same economic logic applies to healthcare, to education, to infrastructure—in fact to any of the initiatives that President Obama asserts are imperative to our future. The money we spend on those projects comes from you and me in the form of taxes, and it’s paid to you and me for the goods and services we then deliver to ourselves, based on the priorities established by our elected officials, whom we selected to make these allocation decisions for us, on our behalf. In other words, we put money into a jar, from which we pay ourselves to do the work that we asked ourselves to do. Sounds circular? Damn straight it is.

Non-lunatic republicans believe that states are better suited to allocate our taxes than the federal government. Likewise, non-lunatic democrats believe the federal government is better suited to allocate our taxes than the states. The rest of the blue and red flag waving fools are using their party to further their own social agenda. It’s not a question of “burning” or “wasting” or “losing” money. The money doesn’t vanish. That is a spurious argument.

The only important question is—who invests into what projects.

Given the universally abysmal state of our highways, bridges, and public education; given the historically proven need for a strong hand in foreign policy; given the need for stable capital markets to allow inventors and investors to reach amenable terms for creating our future opportunities, I am one republican that believes that for a time, perhaps a long time, we need to spend whatever money we have on projects that help ensure that our nation endures for another 200 years as a significant contributor to the social and economic well being of our planet. A well-fed and well-educated world that can communicate clearly and easily is more likely to result in a peaceful world in which every human being can pursue life, liberty and happiness.

On what better things could we possibly spend our money?

World Reaction

Wednesday, November 5th, 2008

On September 12, 2001 almost every human on the planet waved an American flag and said “I am an American” and in the past 7 years we have squandered that solidarity, goodwill, and our treasury to boot.

What a wonderful opportunity we have before us; to rebuild and perhaps regain the place we had seven years ago. It may not be as good as we want it to be in just a few months or years, but it sure is great to have the chance to make our nation something great. And it is wonderful to see so much shift in how we as Americans are viewed worldwide, in one evening.

Electing a smart, young, assertive black man changes how Americans are viewed forever. I am truly proud to be an American. Truly proud.

 http://www.dw-world.de/dw/function/0,2145,12215_cid_3766019,00.html

 

 http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/politics/7710034.stm

 

 http://canadianpress.google.com/article/ALeqM5g3vdWdbYsKoZn7LeshJjE_D0QhwQ

 

 http://english.aljazeera.net/

 

 http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&sid=aePA_k5KEoVg&refer=us

 

 http://www.upi.com/Top_News/2008/11/05/Kenyan_clan_celebrates_Obama_win/UPI-31751225870506/

 

 from Le Monde, watching minute-by-minute what the reaction was…

 

08:16 – Angela Merkel affirmed the importance of partnership with the United States 
German Chancellor Angela Merkel congratulated Barack Obama on his victory “historic”. “Be convinced that my government is aware of the importance and value of our transatlantic partnership,” she added while inviting the new president to visit soon in Germany. 200 000 people had come cheer the candidate at a transition in Berlin.

08:10 – Frank-Walter Steinmeier expects a change in U.S. foreign policy 
America has voted for change in domestic policy as foreign, “said Foreign Minister German Social Democrat, who welcomed future collaboration with the new American president.

07:28 – No quick exit from Iraq as the chief diplomat in Iraq 
The election of Barack Obama to the presidency of the United States “will not a quick U.S. withdrawal from Iraq,” the chief diplomat in Iraq Hoshyar Zebari.

07:22 – Gordon Brown welcomed the “progressive values” and a “vision for the future” 
British Prime Minister Gordon Brown congratulated Barack Obama on his election to the American presidency, commending his “progressive values and vision for the future.”

07:03 – A “great hope” for Nicolas Sarkozy 
Nicolas Sarkozy congratulated Barack Obama for his “brilliant victory” in the U.S. presidential election, which he said raises <”un immense espoir” France, Europe and the world. By choosing the Democratic candidate to become their Metis 44th president, Americans were “the choice of change, openness and optimism,” writes the French president in a message which the Elysee released a copy Wednesday.

07:01 – Japan promises strengthening relations 
The Japanese Prime Minister Taro Aso congratulated Barack Obama and promised to strengthen relations with the United States, the main ally of Japan.

06:57 – The appeal of Hamas to Obama 
Hamas, which controls the Gaza Strip, has called U.S. President-elect Barack Obama to “learn from mistakes” of previous administrations, and especially (George W.) Bush “to the Arab-Muslim world.

06:56 – Entering a “new era” for the Afghan president 
Afghan President Hamid Karzai congratulated Barack Obama, saying that his victory in the U.S. presidential election would bring the world into a “new era”.

06:53 – congratulation to Hu Jintao 
Chinese President Hu Jintao congratulated Barack Obama on his victory in the U.S. presidential election, indicating want to raise the relations between China and the United States to a new level, said the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

06:49 – Mahmoud Abbas calls for the involvement of the new president in the conflict 
Mahmoud Abbas called the American president elected Barack Obama to accelerate efforts towards a settlement of Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

06:44 – circumspection in Baghdad 
The election of Barack Obama to the presidency of the United States “will not make a quick U.S. withdrawal from Iraq” as chief diplomat in Iraq Hoshyar Zebari. “We do not believe there will be a sudden political change,” he stressed.

06:40 – Optimism in Asian markets 
Asian stocks posted strong increases. In Tokyo, the Nikkei gained 2.52% to 4 h 35 GMT after having already rocketed to 6.27% yesterday. At the same time, Hongkong s’envolait of 5.65%, 4.39% for Singapore, Seoul and Shanghai 3.71% to 4.22%. Sydney gained 2.77%, 0.55% of Taipei, New Zealand 1.47% and 2.90% of Bangkok.

Scary Times

Friday, October 31st, 2008

pumkin

It’s Halloween. Kids are having fun scaring each other and eating candy. And acting really weird.  This evening’s antics serve as an appropriate background for the past week. Two of the start-ups I am working with are suffering from a lack of funding. Not because their businesses are bad. No, they suffer from a lack of funding because they had the bad fortune of needing to raise a round now when most VCs are running like crazy headless chickens in the midst of the credit crunch. Thanks to Sequoia’s hysterical 100 CEO meeting a few weeks ago and the wacky deck they let out onto the blogosphere, many VCs act like they need to be afraid to be intelligent.

Have seen a few VCs actually step up in the midst of this and say “wow, now that the big boys are out, let’s step up our investment focus so that we pick up the best deal flow.” But those contrarians are rare. Has anyone noticed that Warren Buffett isn’t hiding? No, he is buying and since cash is king, he gets a great price. Lord if only I had a bigger bag of cash, I’d be shopping for companies, too. It’s amazing to me how little faith VCs have in the future. It’s ironic, given that they are supposedly in existence to provide capital where banks fear to tread. Well, here we go again. Time for a hunker-down period just like they had after the Internet bubble burst. As a result of that last chicken phase, many missed out on youtube, google, facebook, and other winners this go-around.

This gets me back to the CEOs I am working with. I am proud to be associated with these companies. They have built great products. They are not daunted by fearful VCs. They scrap for bits of investment from those with intestinal fortitude, they scrimp on costs, they build product, and with a little luck and the hard work they put into these ventures, they will come out on top. And leave the chicken VCs behind.

Trick or treat? That all depends on who’s handing out the candy. Today it’s the VC hemming and hawing at the door, but in the not too distant future, it’s the CEOs who stick it out through the hard times. And win.

Happy Halloween.

Courage in the face of fear

Sunday, February 10th, 2008

I went to the Washington State Presidential primary caucuses yesterday, which put my brain into history mode. It struck me again that great leaders stand their ground under fire, at times even under persecution. It’s not what they promise; it’s what they do when their mettle is tested. Great leaders face daunting challenges with resolve and inspire others with hope for a better future.

So I began to wonder, what is it about George W. Bush’s war in Iraq that doesn’t pass the sniff test for any but the most reactionary of noses? President Bush has been pestered, ridiculed, and chastised by many pundits and leaders, and in addition he has lost about two-thirds of the country’s support in pursuit of his foreign policy in Iraq. He has been under fire to say the least. He has asked us to aspire to a safer world and freedom for the Iraqi people. Why isn’t he seen by most as a great leader for sticking to his guns for this admirable intention? Without resorting to the same old arguments on this topic, I see two answers of use for all leaders.

The first and simplest answer is, the war in Iraq isn’t over. It hasn’t been won by anyone’s accounting. And although the mission objectives have been ambiguous and fluid over the past four years, not even the current mission objectives have been achieved with any sense of finality. So it is fair to say that judging his leadership on Iraq might be premature.

But there is a deeper answer to why George W. Bush isn’t seen as a great leader on this topic. The primary verb in leadership is “inspire.” President Bush has used 9/11 – one moment of pain in our recent history – to declare a military campaign to root out the source of evil. That’s a flawed promise because the source of 9/11 is essentially one man, who still lives, breathes, and communicates effectively with his followers. It is a flawed promise because the root of this evil is so wide and so pervasive, we would have to kill or subdue everyone who harbors ill will against the United States, which in turn will create more who harbor ill will against us in a never ending cycle of violence.

Leaders who elevate fear and safety as a rationale for action always create more doubt than motion. Why? Because whenever a leader elevates fear and safety as a primary concern to give impetus to an agenda, there are many already willing to face that fear and already have another agenda. Leaders who proclaim “I have the answer” instill either doubt or set themselves up for a reckoning later. Leaders who on the other hand challenge us to build or attain something and say “I believe we can do this,” are inspiring. Though we might fail, there is more motion than doubt. Lincoln, FDR, and JFK understood this. But it doesn’t require a president or brilliant orator to understand this – any decent parent understands this.  As leaders, we have the opportunity to demonstrate courage in the face of fear.  When we step up to do so, we lead others to do the same.

George W. Bush’s war in Iraq was not courage in the face of fear. It was a simplistic response to a violent act fueled by misplaced hatred and misguided political objectives. And in the process, we became the thing we sought to punish. Worse yet, President Bush created a divisive, exclusionary principle: if you are not with us you are against us. A great leader seeks inclusion – because by bringing people together, we build a better place.

In response to 9/11, a great leader would have challenged us to first forgive those assailants who were manipulated into suicide and then challenged the world to join us in building a deeper understanding of one another while bringing the principal hate mongerers to justice. Had President Bush done this, we would have collectively held him in high esteem as a great leader. Instead, his approach of elevating our fears, focusing our actions on a false sense of security, and forcing his agenda through the use of executive power has left us with a feeling of doubt and anguish.

A fine lesson for anyone in a leadership role.

(c) 2008 BlueSeven Partners LLC